Colorado St.
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
119  Janelle Lincks SR 20:06
133  Darby Gilfillan JR 20:08
271  Ali Kallner SO 20:30
304  McKenna Spillar JR 20:34
422  Alexandra Hess SR 20:47
439  Kate White SO 20:49
456  Sanne Holland SR 20:51
626  Mary Franke JR 21:07
1,083  Roxy Trotter SO 21:37
National Rank #35 of 344
Mountain Region Rank #6 of 20
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 14.2%
Most Likely Finish 6th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.7%
Top 20 at Nationals 6.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 41.6%
Top 10 in Regional 99.7%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Janelle Lincks Darby Gilfillan Ali Kallner McKenna Spillar Alexandra Hess Kate White Sanne Holland Mary Franke Roxy Trotter
Roy Griak Invitational 09/24 849 20:21 21:03 20:14 20:43 20:56 21:05 21:58 21:30
UW Invitational 10/01 814 20:08 20:45 20:34 20:55 20:43 20:46 21:32 20:52 21:28
ISU adidas Pre Nationals (Blue) 10/15 860 20:07 21:28 20:56 20:30 20:45 21:05 21:03
Mountain West Championship 10/28 715 20:01 21:00 20:29 20:29 20:38 20:34 20:42 21:12 21:28
Mountain Region Championships 11/11 562 19:43 19:44 20:31 20:29 21:01 20:37 20:40





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 14.2% 21.0 509 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.5 1.2 0.6 1.3 1.0 0.9 0.9 1.1 0.6 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.4 0.2
Region Championship 100% 5.6 170 2.1 6.1 12.0 21.5 37.6 12.4 5.3 2.1 0.9 0.3



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Janelle Lincks 33.8% 87.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Darby Gilfillan 28.2% 94.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Ali Kallner 14.4% 152.1
McKenna Spillar 14.5% 163.5
Alexandra Hess 14.2% 196.0
Kate White 14.2% 201.3
Sanne Holland 14.2% 206.2


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Janelle Lincks 20.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.7 1.3 2.6 3.3 3.5 3.5 4.5 4.2 4.6 4.7 4.1 4.2 3.8 4.8 3.9 3.6 3.0 3.7
Darby Gilfillan 21.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.7 1.0 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.8 2.5 4.0 3.7 3.5 4.7 4.2 4.0 3.3 4.8 4.2 2.9 4.8 3.7
Ali Kallner 38.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.6 1.7
McKenna Spillar 40.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 1.5 1.0 1.1
Alexandra Hess 51.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2
Kate White 52.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1
Sanne Holland 55.1 0.1 0.1 0.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2.1% 100.0% 2.1 2.1 2
3 6.1% 81.0% 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.2 4.9 3
4 12.0% 48.5% 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.8 1.1 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.2 6.2 5.8 4
5 21.5% 6.7% 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.3 20.1 1.5 5
6 37.6% 37.6 6
7 12.4% 12.4 7
8 5.3% 5.3 8
9 2.1% 2.1 9
10 0.9% 0.9 10
11 0.3% 0.3 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
Total 100% 14.2% 2.1 0.8 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.7 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.5 85.8 2.1 12.2




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Furman 25.1% 1.0 0.3
Louisville 9.3% 1.0 0.1
Rice 5.9% 1.0 0.1
Duke 3.2% 1.0 0.0
Oklahoma 1.0% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Brown 0.6% 1.0 0.0
Elon 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Northern Illinois 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Clemson 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Wyoming 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.5
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 3.0